Ideas
The Moment the Transatlantic Charade Ended
At the Munich Security Conference, Europe and the Trump administration stopped pretending to respect each other.
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Ep. 38: Beyond South China Sea tensions, part two: The CCP vision and the future of Chinese history
How the world's greatest 15th-century navy is linked to the game-playing robot that put Beijing's AI visions into overdrive.
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Sunni Jihad Is Going Local
Future extremists will focus not on exporting violence to the West, but on building influence in their own communities.
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Trump’s Emergency Declaration is Going to Run into Four Hurdles
They fall into the broad buckets of legal, legislative, political, and constitutional issues.
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Why Withdrawing from the INF Treaty Might Be Unconstitutional
No one really knows who gets to cancel treaties, but courts may defer to a Congress that prefers not to.
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Cyber Deterrence Done Right: The Coordinated Actions Against Huawei
By marshalling the collective power of its allies, the U.S. may have finally found a model for imposing costs on cyber adversaries.
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Two Ideas That Might Stop a Post-INF Arms Race, and One That Won’t
Discard the pipe dream of INF-plus-China. Focus instead on keeping new missiles too far away to strike.
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How a Forever War Ends
Trump might well wrap up the war in Afghanistan, but only by giving up on America’s original goals.
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Russian-Style Kleptocracy Is Infiltrating America
When the U.S.S.R. collapsed, Washington bet on the global spread of democratic capitalist values—and lost.
Ideas
Ep. 37: Beyond South China Sea tensions, part one: The Tinderbox
The episode is broken up into three parts: how did it all begin?; what's in it for Beijing?; and where to go and what to know from here.
Ideas
Startups Should Love Government Work
New pathways to federal business are helping young companies thrive — and the government to get what it needs.
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South Korea Becomes a Testing Ground for Trump’s Grievances With Allies
The motto for the U.S.–South Korea alliance isn’t “We go together, if I get enough money as reimbursement,” one analyst observed.
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Two Ways the Venezuelan Crisis Might End
President Maduro seems likely to hold power only as long as he can pay off military elites.
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Trump’s Cyber Strategy Is Far Too Optimistic
The director of national intelligence’s threat assessment exposes two of its pillars as convenient fictions.
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The US Needs a Real Plan to Counter China in Africa
The current toothless strategy won’t prevent Beijing from, say, squeezing supply lines to America's biggest African base.
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The Unpredictable Rise of China
Xi Jinping seeks national rejuvenation, but his nation’s mounting power masks increased instability.
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The Jury Is Still Out on the Pentagon’s Audit
The real failure will happen if lawmakers and defense officials don’t implement its lessons.
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Trump, Nukes, and No First Use
Two bills aim to enact a long-overdue policy that will make the world less dangerous.
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A Strategic Disaster Looms at the 2nd Trump-Kim Summit
The Trump administration has declined to rule out withdrawing its troops from South Korea.
Ideas