Ideas

How Quickly Could Iran Get a Nuclear Bomb?

A former National Nuclear Security Administration coordinator explains breakout time — and why it’s getting shorter.

Threats

Iran Launched Missiles at Iraqi Bases with US Forces, Pentagon Says

More than a dozen ballistic missiles were fired at the Al-Assad air base in Anbar province and a base in Irbil, in Iraqi Kurdistan, a DOD statement said. 

Threats

Offering No Evidence, Esper Says Soleimani Attack On US Was ‘Days’ Away

Meanwhile, confusion continues over draft letter citing plans to move U.S. forces in Iraq.

Ideas

What Motivates Chinese Peacekeeping?

China’s unusual status as a top contributor of both funds and troops to the UN's peacekeeping program has stirred suspicion.

Ideas

Trump’s Fixation on the Hostage Crisis Is Driving His Iran Policy

The president’s approach to the Islamic Republic appears stuck in 1979.

Science & Tech

US Space Force Lists 20 Tough Problems for 1st Pitch Day

The military’s newest branch invites industry to bring solutions on March 4. Officials want to move quickly if they see something they like.

Ideas

Don’t Use the Iran Crisis As An Excuse To Boost Pentagon Spending

Use it to reconsider the American approach to national security.

Ideas

US-Iranian Diplomacy Almost Worked. Let’s Try It Again

Direct talks may be too much to ask for at this stage, but tension-reduction measures promoted by third parties are still very plausible.

Science & Tech

US Government To Restrict Sale of AI for Satellite Image Analysis

Software that can analyze satellite photos would be treated like a weapon.

Policy

Soleimani Strike Splits 2020 Democrats

It also opens up a key weakness for frontrunner Joe Biden.

Ideas

5G Is Where China and the West Finally Diverge

The rollout of speedy new cellular networks is a geopolitical turning point, but neither Trump nor the public yet recognizes this.

Ideas

The Blueprint Iran Could Follow After Soleimani’s Death

Here’s what to expect after the U.S. killing of Iran’s most powerful military commander.

Policy

Iraqi Lawmakers Ask Government to Expel US Troops

Iraq analysts say the nonbinding vote is important but removal of U.S. troops is far from a done deal.

Ideas

The Soleimani Strike Defied the US Constitution

If Congress fails to respond effectively, the president will be left with the unmitigated power to take the country to war on his own—anywhere, anytime, for any reason.

Ideas

The Soleimani Assassination Is America’s Most Consequential Strike This Century

The U.S. attack against the top Iranian general will have far greater repercussions than the killings of al-Qaeda and ISIS leaders.

Threats

Soleimani Strike Could Imperil US Troops In Iraq

Trump and his allies have sought to frame Iraq’s response to the strikes as a choice between Tehran and Washington, but the situation is not so black-and-white for Baghdad.

Science & Tech

What's Next for Iran's Cyber Actors?

The country has grown as a talented, and destructive, network threat over the last several years.