Ideas

Expect Iranian regime to respond to US‑Israeli strikes as existential threats

The response to last year's strikes on nuclear sites was muted. Don't expect this one to be the same.

Business

By the numbers: how recent deals will boost missile production

Ideas

'Mission ahead, heavens above'

Welcome to Fictional Intelligence, the first of a monthly series that explores the future through short stories.

Ideas

Pakistan’s burgeoning arms industry is a strategic opportunity for the US

A defense-industrial partnership could benefit the Pentagon while mitigating Chinese influence.

Ideas

Space-based interceptors make even less sense now

The Pentagon and its Golden Dome contractors are proposing to replace one showstopping problem with another.

Ideas

Our allies passed your test, Mr. President. Would we?

A former U.S. infantryman responds to Trump’s amnesiac take on Afghanistan.

Ideas

Bombing Iran would shore up its regime

External attacks stir up nationalism and redirect public anger outward, a “rally-around-the-flag” effect long documented by political scientists.

Ideas

Trump’s Greenland threat has already hurt US security—but far worse may come

A hostile takeover would shatter America’s key alliance, limit its military’s global reach, and invite economic reprisal.

Ideas

Ukraine’s future may turn on upcoming votes in Congress

As lawmakers sprint to fund the U.S. government, America’s support for Kyiv hangs in the balance—and could determine how the conflict ends.

Ideas

Military force can topple a dictator, but it cannot create political authority or legitimacy

Trump is the latest to reach for a military solution of the kind that rarely produces durable peace. 

Ideas

Trump’s new ‘battleship’ should not carry nukes

Producing a new nuclear missile for the Navy would leave us less safe.

Ideas

Now you can train for the next drone war on simulated Ukrainian front lines

A public version of the simulator used by thousands of Ukrainian drone pilots offers a terrifying glimpse into modern warfare.

Ideas

Roundup: US hypersonic-missile efforts

Ideas

On Europe, the Trump administration is out of step with Congress, Americans

Most recognize Russia as an antagonist that must be opposed—with force, if necessary.

Ideas

Sinking speedboats with a supercarrier: the lopsided cost of Operation Southern Spear

History suggests what happens when the U.S. military outspends a foe by orders of magnitude.