Ideas

Bolton Keeps Trying to Goad Iran Into War

For more than a decade, he’s consistently promoted war with Iran. All that has changed are the pretexts he’s offering to justify one.

Ideas

How to Step Back from the Brink with Iran

Right now, everything both sides do to strengthen their defenses looks to the other side like preparation for attack.

Ideas

Iran Has Options and It’s Starting to Use Them

Washington’s “maximum pressure” campaign has not forced Tehran to yield—in fact, it’s done the opposite.

Ideas

Deterrence Is Failing — Partly Because Iran Has No Idea What the US Really Wants

Successful deterrence requires clear delineation of acceptable and unacceptable behaviors. That needs to start, pronto.

Threats

US Blames Tanker Attacks On Iran; CENTCOM Releases Surveillance Video

Military officials say imagery shows Iranians in boats at the tankers, handling a mine and trying to capture crew members.

Threats

How to Navigate the Fog of War on Iran

The question of how to read U.S. intelligence on Iranian threats—and how to respond to them—is at the center of a debate over military escalation.

Threats

Top US Officer: Iran’s Threats Look Like a ‘Campaign’

The Joint Chiefs chairman says he saw ‘multiple threat streams that were all, perhaps coming together, in time.”

Policy

US To Send 900 Troops To Middle East To Counter Iran

The Trump administration insists that the deployment is purely defensive.

Threats

Iran Briefings Leave Congress Divided Over Trump’s Intentions, War Powers

“Everybody is deeply concerned about Congress getting cut out,” said one Democrat after hearing from Pompeo, Dunford, and Shanahan.

Ideas

How Is Iran Worse Than Saudi Arabia?

A rational foreign policy would view Tehran as a normal regional power jockeying with equally sharp-elbowed foes. 2020 Democrats can lead the way.

Ideas

Take It From an Iraq War Supporter—War With Iran Would Be a Disaster

It would mean repeating a mistake, only on a much bigger scale: without allies, without justification, and without any plan at all.

Ideas

Who Wins When US-Iran Tensions Rise? China

The Sino-Iranian relationship advances Chinese interests — and particularly when Washington tries to turn the screws on Tehran.

Ideas

Trump’s Counter-Iran Moves Are Provocative, But They’re Not War

Truly bad messaging is undermining trust among allies and the American public — and increasing the chance of accidental escalation.

Threats

A Bewildering Briefing on the Iranian Threat Leaves More Questions Than Answers

A deputy commander of the counter-ISIS coalition appeared to rebut White House claims about Iran-backed militias in Iraq and Syria.

Ideas

Trump’s ‘Maximum Pressure’ Won’t Make Iran Yield

The one thing Tehran would find more intolerable than the crushing impact of sanctions is raising the white flag because of them.

Threats

The Flash Point Between America and Iran Could Be Iraq's Militias

U.S. troops and Iran-backed fighters had an alliance of sorts in the anti-ISIS campaign. With Washington and Tehran at odds, could they turn on each other?

Ideas

The Slow Death of the Iran Nuclear Deal

Tehran says it will stop complying with elements of the accord unless the countries that remain live up to their commitments. But those five states are unlikely to stand up to U.S. pressure.

Threats

Senior Military and Trump Officials in Washington Escalate Iran Warnings

General says sending aircraft carrier and B-52 bombers is not a pretext for war.

Ideas

How Not to Announce a Ship Deployment

A simple press conference could have avoided 36 hours of confusion and fears of war with Iran.

Threats

The Many Ways Iran Could Target the United States

The White House is citing unspecified threats from Iran. The specifics are murky, but the potential for escalation is real.